{
  "id": 150882,
  "title": "My Solution for week 5",
  "content": "<p>Hi everybody, this week I did not have time to adapt my previous approach so I simply used a public baseline and then added some code for quantiles. Basically I  used poisson  distribution to estimate   0.05 and 0.95 quantile.</p>",
  "comments": [
    {
      "id": 847497,
      "author_name": "",
      "author_url": "",
      "post_date": "2020-05-14T12:50:18.767000",
      "content": "<p>I hope you will find time to enhance your work <a href=\"/pietromarinelli\">@pietromarinelli</a> </p>",
      "votes": 1,
      "replies": []
    },
    {
      "id": 847021,
      "author_name": "Sani Kamal",
      "author_url": "",
      "post_date": "2020-05-14T06:10:14.690000",
      "content": "<p>Thanks for sharing</p>",
      "votes": 1,
      "replies": [
        {
          "id": 847032,
          "author_name": "Pietro Marinelli",
          "author_url": "",
          "post_date": "2020-05-14T06:17:54.610000",
          "content": "<p>You're welcome! </p>",
          "votes": 0,
          "replies": []
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": 846808,
      "author_name": "Sumit Kumar",
      "author_url": "",
      "post_date": "2020-05-14T02:29:02.043000",
      "content": "<p>nice...</p>",
      "votes": 1,
      "replies": [
        {
          "id": 847030,
          "author_name": "Pietro Marinelli",
          "author_url": "",
          "post_date": "2020-05-14T06:17:45.237000",
          "content": "<p>Thanks! </p>",
          "votes": 0,
          "replies": []
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": 885057,
      "author_name": "Vitalii Mokin",
      "author_url": "",
      "post_date": "2020-06-13T20:48:14.843000",
      "content": "<p>An interesting solution. In the overall ranking of competitions (Weeks 1-5 - see <a href=\"https://www.kaggle.com/vbmokin/all-ranking-covid19-global-forecasting-challenges\">All Ranking Covid19 Global Forecasting Challenges</a>) you took 27th place (<strong>Top5%</strong> - It would be <strong>silver</strong> if they were given medals!). My Congratulations!</p>",
      "votes": 0,
      "replies": [
        {
          "id": 885518,
          "author_name": "Pietro Marinelli",
          "author_url": "",
          "post_date": "2020-06-14T09:29:09.007000",
          "content": "<p>Wow Vitalii, thanks a lot !! Congratulations for your performance as well! </p>",
          "votes": 0,
          "replies": []
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": 846505,
      "author_name": "",
      "author_url": "",
      "post_date": "2020-05-13T19:57:40.747000",
      "content": "<p>Good to know. Thanks for sharing :)</p>",
      "votes": 0,
      "replies": [
        {
          "id": 846506,
          "author_name": "",
          "author_url": "",
          "post_date": "2020-05-13T19:57:45.657000",
          "content": "<p>Which baseline?</p>",
          "votes": 0,
          "replies": []
        },
        {
          "id": 846513,
          "author_name": "Pietro Marinelli",
          "author_url": "",
          "post_date": "2020-05-13T20:07:30.463000",
          "content": "<p>Hi! The one you can get if you click on my position in the leaderboard 😉</p>",
          "votes": 1,
          "replies": []
        },
        {
          "id": 846515,
          "author_name": "Pietro Marinelli",
          "author_url": "",
          "post_date": "2020-05-13T20:07:48.300000",
          "content": "<p>You are welcome! </p>",
          "votes": 0,
          "replies": []
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": 846966,
      "author_name": "shivan kumar",
      "author_url": "",
      "post_date": "2020-05-14T05:09:56.340000",
      "content": "<p>Thanks for sharing :)</p>",
      "votes": 1,
      "replies": []
    }
  ],
  "comment_count": 12,
  "messages": [
    {
      "id": 846291,
      "postDate": "2020-05-13T16:56:10.230Z",
      "content": "<p>Hi everybody, this week I did not have time to adapt my previous approach so I simply used a public baseline and then added some code for quantiles. Basically I  used poisson  distribution to estimate   0.05 and 0.95 quantile.</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "Hi everybody, this week I did not have time to adapt my previous approach so I simply used a public baseline and then added some code for quantiles. Basically I  used poisson  distribution to estimate   0.05 and 0.95 quantile.",
      "votes": 4
    },
    {
      "id": 847497,
      "postDate": "2020-05-14T12:50:18.767Z",
      "content": "<p>I hope you will find time to enhance your work <a href=\"/pietromarinelli\">@pietromarinelli</a> </p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "I hope you will find time to enhance your work @pietromarinelli ",
      "votes": 1
    },
    {
      "id": 847021,
      "postDate": "2020-05-14T06:10:14.690Z",
      "content": "<p>Thanks for sharing</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "Thanks for sharing",
      "votes": 1,
      "replies": [
        {
          "id": 847032,
          "postDate": "2020-05-14T06:17:54.610Z",
          "content": "<p>You're welcome! </p>",
          "rawMarkdown": "You're welcome! "
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": 846808,
      "postDate": "2020-05-14T02:29:02.043Z",
      "content": "<p>nice...</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "nice...",
      "votes": 1,
      "replies": [
        {
          "id": 847030,
          "postDate": "2020-05-14T06:17:45.237Z",
          "content": "<p>Thanks! </p>",
          "rawMarkdown": "Thanks! "
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": 885057,
      "postDate": "2020-06-13T20:48:14.843Z",
      "content": "<p>An interesting solution. In the overall ranking of competitions (Weeks 1-5 - see <a href=\"https://www.kaggle.com/vbmokin/all-ranking-covid19-global-forecasting-challenges\">All Ranking Covid19 Global Forecasting Challenges</a>) you took 27th place (<strong>Top5%</strong> - It would be <strong>silver</strong> if they were given medals!). My Congratulations!</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "An interesting solution. In the overall ranking of competitions (Weeks 1-5 - see [All Ranking Covid19 Global Forecasting Challenges](https://www.kaggle.com/vbmokin/all-ranking-covid19-global-forecasting-challenges)) you took 27th place (**Top5%** - It would be **silver** if they were given medals!). My Congratulations!",
      "replies": [
        {
          "id": 885518,
          "postDate": "2020-06-14T09:29:09.007Z",
          "content": "<p>Wow Vitalii, thanks a lot !! Congratulations for your performance as well! </p>",
          "rawMarkdown": "Wow Vitalii, thanks a lot !! Congratulations for your performance as well! "
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": 846505,
      "postDate": "2020-05-13T19:57:40.747Z",
      "content": "<p>Good to know. Thanks for sharing :)</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "Good to know. Thanks for sharing :)",
      "replies": [
        {
          "id": 846506,
          "postDate": "2020-05-13T19:57:45.657Z",
          "content": "<p>Which baseline?</p>",
          "rawMarkdown": "Which baseline?"
        },
        {
          "id": 846513,
          "postDate": "2020-05-13T20:07:30.463Z",
          "content": "<p>Hi! The one you can get if you click on my position in the leaderboard 😉</p>",
          "rawMarkdown": "Hi! The one you can get if you click on my position in the leaderboard 😉",
          "votes": 1
        },
        {
          "id": 846515,
          "postDate": "2020-05-13T20:07:48.300Z",
          "content": "<p>You are welcome! </p>",
          "rawMarkdown": "You are welcome! "
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "id": 846966,
      "postDate": "2020-05-14T05:09:56.340Z",
      "content": "<p>Thanks for sharing :)</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "Thanks for sharing :)",
      "votes": 1
    }
  ],
  "complete": true,
  "source": "live",
  "fetched_at": "2026-10-19T12:19:00Z",
  "competition_id": 20475,
  "competition_slug": "covid19-global-forecasting-week-5",
  "team_id": 4877205,
  "solution_url": "/competitions/covid19-global-forecasting-week-5/writeups/pietro-marinelli-my-solution-for-week-5"
}