{
  "id": 302478,
  "title": "Recent big drops in the crypto market",
  "url": "/competitions/g-research-crypto-forecasting/discussion/302478",
  "author_name": "Michal Bogacz",
  "post_date": "2022-01-22T17:29:00.817000",
  "votes": 23,
  "comment_count": 9,
  "views": 0,
  "content": "<p>In recent days (or even hours), we have seen very large drops in the largest cryptocurrencies. I wonder if the crash continues, how many of the models prepared for this competition are ready for such a situation? <img src=\"https://i.imgur.com/KtTyHg0.png\" alt=\"\"></p>\n<p>Source: Google Finance</p>",
  "messages": [
    {
      "id": 1660466,
      "postDate": "2022-01-22T17:29:00.817Z",
      "content": "<p>In recent days (or even hours), we have seen very large drops in the largest cryptocurrencies. I wonder if the crash continues, how many of the models prepared for this competition are ready for such a situation? <img src=\"https://i.imgur.com/KtTyHg0.png\" alt=\"\"></p>\n<p>Source: Google Finance</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "In recent days (or even hours), we have seen very large drops in the largest cryptocurrencies. I wonder if the crash continues, how many of the models prepared for this competition are ready for such a situation? ![](https://i.imgur.com/KtTyHg0.png)\n\nSource: Google Finance",
      "votes": 23
    },
    {
      "id": 1668898,
      "postDate": "2022-01-30T06:30:30.470Z",
      "content": "<p>We couldn't ask for a better shakeup than this 😆</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "We couldn't ask for a better shakeup than this 😆",
      "votes": 3
    },
    {
      "id": 1674689,
      "postDate": "2022-02-03T17:36:38.447Z",
      "content": "<p>Great question. Thank you for sharing. Very curious about future predictions based on different models</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "Great question. Thank you for sharing. Very curious about future predictions based on different models"
    },
    {
      "id": 1670487,
      "postDate": "2022-01-31T15:09:35.713Z",
      "content": "<p>Are there any models that could predict that, at least to some degree?</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "Are there any models that could predict that, at least to some degree?"
    },
    {
      "id": 1669986,
      "postDate": "2022-01-31T05:43:41.620Z",
      "content": "<p>Hello <a href=\"https://www.kaggle.com/michau96\" target=\"_blank\">@michau96</a>, maybe I'm wrong, but not sure if a model could anticipate such a drastic change this looks similar to what happened in May 2021. at least for BitCoin.</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "Hello @michau96, maybe I'm wrong, but not sure if a model could anticipate such a drastic change this looks similar to what happened in May 2021. at least for BitCoin."
    },
    {
      "id": 1668246,
      "postDate": "2022-01-29T13:24:21.663Z",
      "content": "<p>very hard to do this</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "very hard to do this"
    },
    {
      "id": 1667999,
      "postDate": "2022-01-29T07:45:37.620Z",
      "content": "<p>Little, only those who implemented HMMs will be quicker to respond.</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "Little, only those who implemented HMMs will be quicker to respond."
    },
    {
      "id": 1665591,
      "postDate": "2022-01-27T02:21:26.120Z",
      "content": "<p>its a really interesting question!</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "its a really interesting question!"
    },
    {
      "id": 1664187,
      "postDate": "2022-01-25T19:15:12.610Z",
      "content": "<p>Two &gt; 50% pullbacks since <a href=\"https://www.kaggle.com/1514764860\" target=\"_blank\">@1514764860</a> (Sun 31 Dec 2017) so models have the data</p>",
      "rawMarkdown": "Two > 50% pullbacks since @1514764860 (Sun 31 Dec 2017) so models have the data"
    },
    {
      "id": 1661485,
      "postDate": "2022-01-23T13:45:20.500Z",
      "rawMarkdown": "",
      "votes": 2,
      "isDeleted": true
    }
  ],
  "comments": [
    {
      "id": 1668898,
      "author_name": "",
      "author_url": "",
      "post_date": "2022-01-30T06:30:30.470000",
      "content": "<p>We couldn't ask for a better shakeup than this 😆</p>",
      "votes": 3,
      "replies": []
    },
    {
      "id": 1674689,
      "author_name": "Berna Basar",
      "author_url": "",
      "post_date": "2022-02-03T17:36:38.447000",
      "content": "<p>Great question. Thank you for sharing. Very curious about future predictions based on different models</p>",
      "votes": 0,
      "replies": []
    },
    {
      "id": 1670487,
      "author_name": "Berker Topuz",
      "author_url": "",
      "post_date": "2022-01-31T15:09:35.713000",
      "content": "<p>Are there any models that could predict that, at least to some degree?</p>",
      "votes": 0,
      "replies": []
    },
    {
      "id": 1669986,
      "author_name": "C4rl05/V",
      "author_url": "",
      "post_date": "2022-01-31T05:43:41.620000",
      "content": "<p>Hello <a href=\"https://www.kaggle.com/michau96\" target=\"_blank\">@michau96</a>, maybe I'm wrong, but not sure if a model could anticipate such a drastic change this looks similar to what happened in May 2021. at least for BitCoin.</p>",
      "votes": 0,
      "replies": []
    },
    {
      "id": 1668246,
      "author_name": "NAIM AHMED",
      "author_url": "",
      "post_date": "2022-01-29T13:24:21.663000",
      "content": "<p>very hard to do this</p>",
      "votes": 0,
      "replies": []
    },
    {
      "id": 1667999,
      "author_name": "Calven Ng",
      "author_url": "",
      "post_date": "2022-01-29T07:45:37.620000",
      "content": "<p>Little, only those who implemented HMMs will be quicker to respond.</p>",
      "votes": 0,
      "replies": []
    },
    {
      "id": 1665591,
      "author_name": "Michael Kingston",
      "author_url": "",
      "post_date": "2022-01-27T02:21:26.120000",
      "content": "<p>its a really interesting question!</p>",
      "votes": 0,
      "replies": []
    },
    {
      "id": 1664187,
      "author_name": "Mikalai Drabovich",
      "author_url": "",
      "post_date": "2022-01-25T19:15:12.610000",
      "content": "<p>Two &gt; 50% pullbacks since <a href=\"https://www.kaggle.com/1514764860\" target=\"_blank\">@1514764860</a> (Sun 31 Dec 2017) so models have the data</p>",
      "votes": 0,
      "replies": []
    },
    {
      "id": 1661485,
      "author_name": "",
      "author_url": "",
      "post_date": "2022-01-23T13:45:20.500000",
      "content": "",
      "votes": 2,
      "replies": []
    }
  ],
  "raw_markdown_by_id": {
    "1660466": "In recent days (or even hours), we have seen very large drops in the largest cryptocurrencies. I wonder if the crash continues, how many of the models prepared for this competition are ready for such a situation? ![](https://i.imgur.com/KtTyHg0.png)\n\nSource: Google Finance",
    "1668898": "We couldn't ask for a better shakeup than this 😆",
    "1674689": "Great question. Thank you for sharing. Very curious about future predictions based on different models",
    "1670487": "Are there any models that could predict that, at least to some degree?",
    "1669986": "Hello @michau96, maybe I'm wrong, but not sure if a model could anticipate such a drastic change this looks similar to what happened in May 2021. at least for BitCoin.",
    "1668246": "very hard to do this",
    "1667999": "Little, only those who implemented HMMs will be quicker to respond.",
    "1665591": "its a really interesting question!",
    "1664187": "Two > 50% pullbacks since @1514764860 (Sun 31 Dec 2017) so models have the data",
    "1661485": ""
  }
}